GovParti · Civic Health Series · Redacted Sample

County Intelligence Brief

Tier 2: Comparative Analysis
Prepared by Amy Barthelemy, Founder, GovParti · SSRN 10928268 · openICPSR 10.3886/E247201V1
Subject county benchmarked against 7 similar-size peers. All figures from live federal and state sources.
This is a redacted sample. The data matrix is shown in full. County identities are anonymized throughout. The comparative interpretation and peer-specific findings are partially masked in the sample; the purchased brief contains them in full, and the peer set is chosen by the buyer (similar-size, same-state, similar-stress-profile, or a custom list).

1. The peer set

The subject county (pop ~119,000) is benchmarked against the 7 nearest-population same-state counties (102k-140k). Holding state and size roughly constant isolates structural differences from size and state effects.

CountyPopMed incomePovertyCHSEnergy *Eviction *Monopoly
Subject119,398$66,25411.7%49.827.3 low61.7 elev4
Peer A116,931$124,9174.3%59.526.7 low39.5 low1
Peer B116,634$50,44820.9%39.933.7 elev68.0 high2
Peer C124,860$64,80917.0%47.333.9 elev64.0 elev4
Peer D129,842$62,16815.9%45.546.2 elev65.5 elev2
Peer E104,917$70,11212.4%46.038.5 elev56.0 elev3
Peer F102,370$82,73012.4%46.233.0 elev34.0 low2
Peer G139,988$70,45511.1%50.439.8 elev60.4 elev3

* Pre-calibration relative ranks (percentile vs all ~3,100 US counties), not published rates.

2. Where the subject sits in the peer distribution

MetricSubjectPeer-group position
CHS 49.8mid3rd of 8 (two peers higher)
Energy Stress 27.3lowest of the 8the cooperative-utility + climate advantage shows
Eviction 61.74th-highestabove two peers, below three
Monopoly Stack 4tied highestthe structural-concentration outlier of the group
Median income $66,254mid4th of 8
Poverty 11.7%2nd-lowestonly one peer lower

3. What the comparison reveals

Partially redacted in this sample.

Finding 1 — The subject's low energy stress is real and peer-confirmed.

It posts the lowest energy-stress score in the group (27.3 vs a peer median near 34) despite mid-tier income. The driver is structural: it is one of only two counties here on a cooperative utility rather than an investor-owned or high-rate provider.

[Full version: the rate and ownership comparison table, and what it means if that structure changes.]
Finding 2 — But its Monopoly Stack is the worst-tied in the peer set.

The subject and one peer both carry 4 concentrated markets; the wealthier peers do not. The subject's energy advantage and monopoly disadvantage point in opposite directions, exactly the kind of split a single-county brief flattens.

[Full version: the specific markets where each peer outperforms, and which of the subject's four is most addressable.]
Finding 3 — Income does not predict displacement pressure here.

The affluent peer ($125k income) sits at eviction 39.5 (low); the subject ($66k) at 61.7 (elevated); another peer ($83k) at 34.0 (low). The spread is driven by renter share and cost burden, not income level.

[Full version: the renter-share and cost-burden decomposition across all 8.]
Finding 4 — The affluent-control outlier.

One peer is the affluent control in this size band (CHS 59.5, every stress index low, monopoly stack 1). It demonstrates what the absence of these structural stresses looks like at the same population, and the gap between it and the rest is the policy-relevant quantity.

[Full version: the control-vs-peers gap decomposition by index.]

4. The headline a single-county brief misses

These eight counties are within ~35k people of each other and all in one state, yet their Civic Health Scores span 39.9 to 59.5, a 20-point range, and their failure modes differ (one poverty-driven, one energy-driven, the subject monopoly-concentration-driven, one with none). A comparative brief converts "these are all mid-size counties" into "here is precisely where this county under- and over-performs its true peers, and which gap is closeable."

[Full version: the closeable-gap ranking.]

5. Sources

Same federal and state source stack as the Tier 1 brief (Census ACS + SAIPE, DOE LEAD, EIA-861, ORNL EAGLE-I, NOAA NCEI, CDC, EPA, NHTSA, IMLS / FEMA / LSC / USDA / NCES, GovParti registry). Every figure in the matrix is reproducible from cited public sources; per-index computation documented in GovParti's internal-equations appendix.